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PNX > SEC Filings for PNX > Form 10-Q on 8-May-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for PHOENIX COMPANIES INC/DE


8-May-2009

Quarterly Report


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

The discussion in this Form 10-Q may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We intend for these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws relating to forward-looking statements. These include statements relating to trends in, or representing management's beliefs about our future strategies, operations and financial results, as well as other statements including, but not limited to, words such as "anticipate," "believe," "plan," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "should" and other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are made based upon management's current expectations and beliefs concerning trends and future developments and their potential effects on us. They are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties which include, among others:
(i) unfavorable general economic developments including, but not limited to, specific related factors such as the performance of the debt and equity markets and changes in interest rates; (ii) the effect of continuing adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet our liquidity needs, our access to capital and our cost of capital; (iii) the possibility of losses due to defaults by others including, but not limited to, issuers of fixed income securities; (iv) changes in our investment valuations based on changes in our valuation methodologies, estimations and assumptions; (v) the effect of guaranteed benefits within our products; (vi) the consequences related to variations in the amount of our statutory capital due to factors beyond our control; (vii) downgrades in our debt or financial strength ratings; (viii) the possibility that mortality rates, persistency rates, funding levels or other factors may differ significantly from our pricing expectations; (ix) the availability, pricing and terms of reinsurance coverage generally and the inability or unwillingness of our reinsurers to meet their obligations to us specifically; (x) our dependence on non-affiliated distributors for our product sales; (xi) our dependence on third parties to maintain critical business and administrative functions; (xii) our ability to attract and retain key personnel in a competitive environment; (xiii) the strong competition we face in our business from banks, insurance companies and other financial services firms;
(xiv) our reliance, as a holding company, on dividends and other payments from our subsidiaries to meet our financial obligations and pay future dividends, particularly since our insurance subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends is subject to regulatory restrictions; (xv) the potential need to fund deficiencies in our closed block; (xvi) tax developments that may affect us directly, or indirectly through the cost of, the demand for or profitability of our products or services; (xvii) the possibility that the actions and initiatives of the U.S. Government, including those that we elect to participate in, may not improve adverse economic and market conditions generally or our business, financial condition and results of operations specifically (xviii) other legislative or regulatory developments; (xix) legal or regulatory actions; (xx) changes in accounting standards; (xxi) the potential effects of the spin-off of our former asset management subsidiary; (xxii) the potential effect of a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting on the accuracy of our reported financial results;(xxiii) the risks related to a man-made or natural disaster and (xxiv) other risks and uncertainties described herein or in any of our filings with the SEC. We undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF

FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

This section reviews our consolidated financial condition as of March 31, 2009 as compared to December 31, 2008; our consolidated results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008; and, where appropriate, factors that may affect our future financial performance. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim financial statements and notes contained in this filing as well as in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2008 in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K.


Executive Overview

Business

We have historically provided life insurance and annuity products through a wide variety of third-party financial professionals and intermediaries, supported by wholesalers and financial planning specialists employed by us. These products and services reflect a particular focus on the high-net-worth and affluent market. Our life and annuity business encompasses a broad range of product offerings. The principal focus of our life insurance business is on permanent life insurance (universal and variable universal life) insuring one or more lives, but we also offer a portfolio of term life insurance products. Our annuity products include deferred and immediate variable annuities with a variety of death benefit and guaranteed living benefit options.

In light of recent downgrades to our financial strength ratings and the loss or impairment of our relationships with several key distribution partners, we have initiated a new business plan that leverages existing manufacturing strengths and partnering capabilities to shift the focus of new business development to areas that are less capital intensive, less ratings sensitive and not dependent on particular distribution partners. This plan shifts the focus of new business development to private labeling, expanding alternative retirement product solutions, and selling core products within existing distribution relationships as well as through new distribution channels.

Underlying this plan is a business strategy based on four pillars:

·

Commitment to a healthy balance sheet;

·

Commitment to policyholder security;

·

Commitment to reducing expenses; and

·

Commitment to sustainable growth strategy.

A substantial share of our net income derives from the closed block, which consists primarily of participating life insurance policies sold prior to our demutualization and initial public offering in 2001. We do not expect the net income contribution from the closed block to deviate materially from its actuarially projected path. See Note 4 to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information on the closed block.

Earnings Drivers

Apart from the closed block, our profitability is driven by interaction of the following elements:

·

Mortality margins in our universal and variable universal life product lines. We earn cost of insurance ("COI") fees based on the difference between face amounts and the account values (referred to as the net amount at risk or NAR). We pay policyholder benefits and set up reserves for future benefit payments on these products. We define mortality margins as the difference between these fees and benefit costs. Mortality margins are affected by:

o

Number and face amount of policies sold;

o

Actual death claims net of reinsurance relative to our assumptions, a reflection of our underwriting and actuarial pricing discipline, the cost of reinsurance and the natural volatility inherent in this kind of risk; and

o

The policy funding levels or actual account values relative to our assumptions, a reflection of policyholder behavior and investment returns.

·

Fees on our life and annuity products. Fees consist primarily of asset-based (including mortality and expense charges) and premium-based fees which we charge on our variable life and variable annuity products and depend on the premiums collected and account values of those products. Asset-based fees are calculated as a percentage of assets under management within our separate accounts. Fees also include surrender charges. Non-asset-based fees are charged to cover premium taxes and renewal commissions.

·

Interest margins. Net investment income earned on universal life and other policyholder funds managed as part of our general account, less the interest credited to policyholders on those funds.

·

Non-deferred expenses including expenses related to selling and servicing the various products offered by the Company, dividends to policyholders and other general business expenses.


·

Deferred policy acquisition cost amortization, which is based on the amount of expenses deferred, actual results in each quarter and management's assumptions about the future performance of the business. The amount of future profit or margin is dependent principally on investment returns in our separate accounts, investment income in excess of the amounts credited to policyholders, surrender and lapse rates, death claims and other benefit payments, premium persistency, funding patterns and expenses. These factors enter into management's estimates of gross profits or margins, which generally are used to amortize deferred policy acquisition costs. Actual equity market movements, net investment income in excess of amounts credited to policyholders, claims payments and other key factors can vary significantly from our assumptions, resulting in a misestimate of gross profits or margins, and a change in amortization, with a resulting impact to income. In addition, we regularly review and reset our assumptions in light of actual experience, which can result in material changes in amortization.

·

Net realized investment gains or losses on our general account investments.

·

Income taxes on the net income of the business which is subject to complex rules of taxation and considerable judgment on the recoverability of the deferred tax asset and is subject to uncertainties related to our ability to utilize all of the deferred tax asset based on our estimates of taxable income over the periods in which the deferred tax assets will be recoverable, including consideration of the expiration dates and amounts of carryforwards related to net operating losses, capital losses, foreign tax credits and general business tax credits.

Certain of our products include guaranteed benefits. These include guaranteed minimum death benefits, guaranteed minimum accumulation benefits, guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits and guaranteed minimum income benefits. Periods of significant and sustained downturns in equity markets, increased equity volatility or reduced interest rates would result in an increase in the valuation of the future policy benefit or policyholder account balance liabilities associated with such products, resulting in a reduction to earnings.

Under GAAP, premiums and deposits for variable life, universal life and annuity products are not recorded as revenues. For certain investment options of variable products, deposits are reflected on our balance sheet as an increase in separate account liabilities. Premiums and deposits for universal life, fixed annuities and certain investment options of variable annuities are reflected on our balance sheet as an increase in policyholder deposit funds. Premiums and deposits for other products are reflected on our balance sheet as an increase in policy liabilities and accruals.

Recent Economic Market Conditions and Industry Trends

Over the past year, the U.S. economy has experienced unprecedented credit and liquidity issues and entered into a recession. Following several years of rapid credit expansion, a sharp contraction in mortgage lending coupled with dramatic declines in home prices, rising mortgage defaults and increasing home foreclosures, resulted in significant write-downs of asset values by financial institutions, including government-sponsored entities and major commercial and investment banks. These write-downs, initially of mortgage-backed securities but spreading to most sectors of the credit markets, and to credit default swaps and other derivative securities, have caused many financial institutions to seek additional capital, to merge with larger and stronger institutions, to be subsidized by the U.S. government and, in some cases, to fail. Reflecting concern about the stability of the financial markets generally and the strength of counterparties, many lenders and institutional investors have reduced and, in some cases, ceased to provide funding to borrowers, including other financial institutions. These factors, combined with declining business and consumer confidence and increased unemployment, have precipitated an economic slowdown and fears of a prolonged recession.

These extraordinary economic and market conditions have materially and adversely affected us. It is difficult to predict how long the current economic and market conditions will continue, whether the financial markets will continue to deteriorate and which aspects of our products and/or business will be adversely affected. However, the lack of credit, lack of confidence in the financial sector, increased volatility in the financial markets and reduced business activity are likely to continue to materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.


In response to, and in some cases in addition to, recent economic and market conditions, we continue to be influenced by a variety of trends that affect the life insurance industry:

·

Statutory capital and surplus and risk-based capital ("RBC") ratios. Regulated life insurance entities are subject to risk-based capital requirements which are a function of these entities' statutory capital and surplus and risk-based capital requirements. The impact of economic and market environment has both reduced statutory capital and increased risk-based capital requirements in a variety of ways. For instance, realized losses reduce available capital and surplus, equity market declines increase the amount of statutory reserves that insurers are required to hold for variable annuity guarantees while increasing risk-based capital requirements and credit downgrades of securities increase risk-based capital requirements. We have recently taken capital management actions to improve our capitalization and RBC ratio including, but not limited to, the sale of certain securities in our portfolio and entry into reinsurance arrangements. We may take similar actions in the future.

·

Debt and Financial Strength Ratings. Recent adverse economic and market conditions have increased the number of debt and financial strength ratings for insurance companies being lowered or placed on negative outlooks. We have recently been downgraded and some of our ratings have negative outlooks. Please see "Management's Discussion and Analysis-Liquidity and Capital Resources." Further downgrades and outlook changes related to us or the life insurance industry may occur at any time and without notice by any rating agency. Downgrades or outlook changes could increase policy surrenders and withdrawals, adversely affect relationships with distributors, reduce new sales, reduce our ability to borrow and increase our future borrowing costs.

·

Regulatory Changes. We are subject to extensive laws and regulations. These laws and regulations are complex and subject to change. This is particularly the case given recent adverse economic and market developments. In light of recent events involving certain financial institutions and the current financial crisis, it is possible that the U.S. government will heighten its oversight of the financial services industry, including possibly through a federal system of insurance regulation. In addition, it is possible that these authorities may adopt enhanced or new regulatory requirements intended to prevent future crises in the financial services industry and to assure the stability of institutions under their supervision. We cannot predict whether this or other regulatory proposals will be adopted, or what impact, if any, such regulation could have on our business, consolidated operating results, financial condition or liquidity.

·

Competitive Pressures. Recent domestic and international consolidation in the financials services industry, driven by regulatory action and other opportunistic transactions in response to adverse economic and market developments, has resulted in an environment in which larger competitors with better financial strength ratings, greater financial resources, marketing and distribution capabilities are better positioned competitively. Larger firms are better able to withstand further market disruption, able to offer more competitive pricing and have superior access to debt and equity capital. If we fail to compete effectively in this environment, our profitability and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.

Effect of Recent Economic Market Conditions and Industry Trends on Earnings Drivers

Recent economic market conditions and industry trends primarily affected us in the following areas:

·

Income taxes. In the first quarter of 2009, we increased the valuation allowance of our deferred tax asset by $115.9 million with an offsetting increase to tax expense. The amount of the valuation allowance was determined based on our estimates of future taxable income over the periods in which the deferred tax asset will be recoverable, including consideration of expiration of capital loss carryovers. After a thorough review of the amount and expected timing of net income, management determined that there were significant uncertainties related to our ability to utilize a portion of the deferred tax assets, including consideration of the expiration dates and amounts of carryforwards related to net operating losses, capital losses, foreign tax credits and general business tax credits.

·

Interest margins. Interest on assets backing surplus was a negative $(6.7) million in the first quarter of 2009, as compared to $12.9 million in the first quarter of 2008. The decrease of $19.6 million was driven by lower income from venture capital partnerships investments. In the first quarter of 2009 our universal life and variable annuity interest margins remained relatively flat at $4.1 million and $4.3 million, as compared to margins of $3.7 million and $4.4 million in the first quarter of 2008, respectively.

·

Fees on our life and annuity products. Fee revenues decreased by $8.2 million to $26.3 million in the first quarter of 2009, as compared to $34.5 million in the first quarter of 2008. The decrease was driven by lower premium-based fees of $3.7 million on our universal life and variable universal life products and lower asset-based fees of $4.5 million on our variable annuity products.


·

Mortality margins in universal life and variable universal life products increased by $19.8 million to $66.2 million in the first quarter of 2009, compared to $46.4 million in the first quarter of 2008. This reflects an $18.4 million increase in cost of insurance fees and a $1.4 million decrease in death benefits. While fluctuations in mortality are inherent in our business, this improvement primarily reflects growth in the block of business over recent years.

·

Net realized investment gains or losses on our general account investments. In the first quarter of 2009 we had net realized gains of $25.4 million, as compared to net realized losses of $46.7 million in the first quarter of 2008. The realized gains in the first quarter of 2009 were primarily driven by a gain of $37.0 million after-tax related to the deconsolidation of our two CDO investments, partially offset by impairments on debt investment securities.

Outlook

The prospect of continued challenges in the economy, including the potential for an extended or deepening recession, will have further material adverse effects on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In such an environment we may face lower fees and net investment income from life and annuity products, additional net realized investment losses on our general account investments, including further other-than-temporary impairments, higher costs for guaranteed benefits, the potential for further deferred policy acquisition cost unlocking and possible further increases in the valuation allowance of our deferred tax asset.

In light of our four strategic pillars, we expect to focus on the following through the remainder 2009:

·

Maintaining a healthy balance sheet;

·

Emphasizing policyholder security;

·

Reducing expenses; and

·

Executing a sustainable growth strategy.

Summary of Consolidated Results of Operations

Results for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 reflect an increase to the valuation allowance on our net deferred tax asset and lower net investment income, as well as negative impacts from the decline in equity markets and return on variable products, partially offset by a gain on the deconsolidation of two collateralized debt obligation investments. The consolidated net loss for the quarter was $74.8 million, or $(0.65) per diluted share, an increase from the net loss of $14.4 million in the prior year.

The net loss from continuing operations of $73.0 in the first quarter of 2009 compares to a net loss of $4.7 million in the first quarter of 2008, or an increased loss of $68.3 million. This result primarily reflects the increased valuation allowance on the deferred tax asset of $115.9 million and the adverse impacts of the markets on our investment margins and fee revenues.

Recent Developments

On April 15, 2009, Dona D. Young retired from The Phoenix Companies, Inc. and James D. Wehr replaced her as President and Chief Executive Officer. Thomas S. Johnson replaced her as Chairman of the Board.

Downgrades to Our Financial Strength and Debt Ratings

We have recently been downgraded and had our outlook revised adversely.

·

On May 7, 2009, Standard & Poor's affirmed our financial strength rating of BBB- and lowered our senior debt rating to B+ from BB-. They maintained their negative outlook on all ratings. On March 10, 2009, Standard & Poor's downgraded our financial strength rating to BBB- from BBB and downgraded our senior debt rating to BB- from BB and maintained its negative outlook. On March 2, 2009, Standard & Poor's downgraded our financial strength rating to BBB from BBB+ and downgraded our senior debt rating to BB from BB+. At the same time, Standard & Poor's removed the ratings from CreditWatch, where they had been placed with negative implications on February 10, 2009.

·

On March 10, 2009, Moody's Investor Service downgraded our financial strength rating to Baa2 from Baa1 and downgraded our senior debt rating to Ba2 from Ba1. The outlook is negative. On February 19, 2009, Moody's Investor Service downgraded our financial strength rating to Baa1 from A3 and downgraded our senior debt rating to Ba1 from Baa3.


·

On March 10, 2009, A.M. Best Company, Inc. downgraded our financial strength rating to B++ from A and downgraded our senior debt rating to bb+ from bbb and maintained its negative outlook. On January 15, 2009, A.M Best Company, Inc. affirmed our financial strength rating of A and changed our outlook to negative from stable and also revised our senior debt rating outlook to negative from stable.

·

On March 4, 2009, Fitch downgraded our financial strength rating to BBB+ from A and placed the rating on Rating Watch Negative. On May 4, 2009, we informed Fitch that, due to our expense management initiatives, we would no longer provide non-public information to the agency and would cease paying annual rating fees.

Suspension of Distribution Relationships

On March 3, 2009, State Farm informed us that it intended to suspend the sale of Phoenix products pending a re-evaluation of the relationship between the two companies. During 2008, State Farm was our largest distributor of annuity and life insurance products accounting for approximately 27% of our total life insurance premiums and approximately 68% of our annuity deposits. On March 4, 2009, National Life Group also informed us that it intended to suspend the sale of Phoenix products. In 2008, National Life was our second largest distributor of annuity products accounting for approximately 14% of our annuity deposits.

The actions by these key distribution partners and rating agencies have materially and adversely affected new sales and our relationships with distributors, and have reduced our ability to borrow. These actions could also increase policy surrenders and withdrawals and increase our future borrowing costs. We are currently assessing the impact of these recent developments on our business prospects, operations and strategy.

Recent Acquisitions and Dispositions

See our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K for a discussion of our recent acquisitions and dispositions.

Spin-Off of Virtus

We distributed 100% of Virtus common stock to our stockholders (other than shares withheld to satisfy certain withholding obligations) on December 31, 2008. Following the spin-off, we and Virtus are independent of each other and have separate boards of directors and management. In connection with the spin-off, Virtus and we entered into a separation agreement and several other agreements to complete the separation of the asset management business from us and to distribute Virtus common stock to our stockholders. These agreements govern the relationship between Virtus and us following the spin-off and also provide for the allocation of employee benefits, taxes and other liabilities and obligations attributable to periods prior to the spin-off. The agreements include a transition services agreement, tax separation agreement and employee matters agreement. We recently amended the tax separation agreement to clarify positions we intend to take with regard to certain tax elections related to the spin-off.

Impact of New Accounting Standards

For a discussion of accounting standards, see Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements in this Form 10-Q.

Critical Accounting Estimates

The discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"). GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. Critical accounting estimates are reflective of significant judgments, often as a result of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain.

Deferred Income Taxes

We account for income taxes in accordance with SFAS No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes ("SFAS 109"). The deferred tax assets and/or liabilities are determined by multiplying the differences between the financial reporting and tax reporting basis for assets and liabilities by the enacted tax rates expected to be in effect when such differences are recovered or settled. The effect on deferred taxes of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the period . . .

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